Science and policy developments: Climate change and food, the on-going saga



In our October newsletter we focus on pressure on food supplies – how this is being impacted by climate change and EU concerns about price hikes.

We look at set-backs in the international policy sphere as developing countries continue to distance themselves from the developed world based on historical emissions culpability. As gas prices begin to normalise, we take a look at our expectations for gas price recovery over the next 12-24 months and our portfolio exposure to this recovery.

As the ramifications of the awful US harvest continue, high corn and soy prices mean focus is turning to the mass culling of pork and cattle herds. This liquidation initially led to weak prices over the summer, but lower future supply means pork and beef prices are now expected to increase significantly by the second half of 2013, further exacerbating global food price inflation.

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