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#GE2015: 10 Marginal Constituencies and Vote for Policies

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Yesterday we looked at the East Midlands marginal of Lincoln. Today we look at ten most marginal constituencies that cover the main party battlefields. We look at the 2010 result and the Vote for Policies state of the parties.

Today we look at the 2010 General Election result of ten marginal constituencies and compare it with the local, self-selecting sample, of Vote for Policies survey completers. You can read more about each constituency by following the source link to UK Polling Report’s constituency guide or the Vote for Policies link to see the voting by policy area.

The most marginal constituency in the UK is Hampstead and Kilburn with Labour defending a three-way Marginal with a majority of just 42.

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Sources: UK Polling report Profile, Live Vote for Policies Data.

Next is Warwickshire North with Conservatives defending an ultra-marginal majority of just 54.

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Sources: UK Polling report Profile, Live Vote for Policies Data

Next is Camborne and Redruth with Conservatives defending an ultra-marginal majority of just 66.

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Sources: UK Polling report ProfileLive Vote for Policies Data

Next is Oldham East and Saddleworth with Labour defending a three-way marginal with a majority of just 103.

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Sources: UK Polling report ProfileLive Vote for Policies Data

Next is Solihull with Lib Dems defending an ultra-marginal majority of just 175.

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Sources: UK Polling report ProfileLive Vote for Policies Data

Next is Norwich South with Lib Dems defending a three marginal with a majority of just 310.

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Sources: UK Polling report ProfileLive Vote for Policies Data

Next is Brighton Pavilion with Greens defending a three marginal with a majority of 1,252.

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Sources: UK Polling report ProfileLive Vote for Policies Data

Next is Arfon defending with Plaid Cymru a majority of 1,455.

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Sources: UK Polling report ProfileLive Vote for Policies Data

Dundee East with the SNP defending a majority of 1,821.

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Sources: UK Polling report ProfileLive Vote for Policies Data

Next is Rochester & Strood with UKIP defending the formerly safe Conservative seat with a majority of 2,920, last held in 2010 by the Conservatives with a majority of 9,953.

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Sources: UK Polling report ProfileLive Vote for Policies Data

You can still see which party’s policies most matches your own views by using the Vote for Policies survey here, or see your local Vote for Policies results here.

To see the 194 marginal battlefields take a look here.

To see the newly released Guide to Sustainable Democracy, click here.

Photo: shining.darkness via Flickr

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Further reading:

General election: attention given to sustainability in campaigns criticised

Simon Leadbetter is the founder and publisher of Blue & Green Tomorrow. He has held senior roles at Northcliffe, The Daily Telegraph, Santander, Barclaycard, AXA, Prudential and Fidelity. In 2004, he founded a marketing agency that worked amongst others with The Guardian, Vodafone, E.On and Liverpool Victoria. He sold this agency in 2006 and as Chief Marketing Officer for two VC-backed start-ups launched the online platform Cleantech Intelligence (which underpinned the The Guardian’s Cleantech 100) and StrategyEye Cleantech. Most recently, he was Marketing Director of Emap, the UK’s largest B2B publisher, and the founder of Blue & Green Communications Limited.

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